Wednesday, July 24, 2019

Career Masters Performances

Four years ago, I began measuring how many ranking points players have earned in their career at the nine Masters Series 1000 events. I am now reposting it with updated stats to see how players have progressed, since it has been over two years since I updated the original post.

I found the sum total of ranking points earned by all of the top players since 1990 at each of the Masters Series events that they played in. The totals were based on the current ranking system: W-1000, RU-600, SF-360, QF-180, R16-90, R32-45, R64-20, and all first round losses were worth 10 points unless it entrance was based on a wildcard.

Keep in mind that players who started their peak years before 1990 could be drastically underrated in categories that have to do with totals, and could be very overrated in categories that have to do with averages.

Career Masters Ranking Points Earned:
1. Rafael Nadal 54,950
2. Novak Djokovic 52,565
3. Roger Federer 52,485
4. Andy Murray 28,230
5. Andre Agassi 27,745
6. Pete Sampras 24,420
7. Tomas Berdych 16,655
8. David Ferrer 16,560
9. Andy Roddick 15,755
10. Michael Chang 15,405
11. Thomas Muster 12,810
12. Stefan Edberg 12,695
13. Boris Becker 12,671
14. Jim Courier 12,600
15. Gustavo Kuerten 12,150
16. Lleyton Hewitt 11,865
17. Carlos Moya 11,570
18. Stan Wawrinka 11,375
19. Marcelo Rios 11,370
20. Goran Ivanisevic 11,360

Average Ranking Points Earned per Tournament: 
1. Rafael Nadal 473.7
2. Novak Djokovic 473.6
3. Roger Federer 391.68
4. Andre Agassi 298.3
5. Pete Sampras 294.2
6. Andy Murray 291
7. Stefan Edberg 275
8. Boris Becker 248
9. Thomas Muster 241
10. Andy Roddick 212
11. Kei Nishikori 203.5
12. Marcelo Rios 199
13. Milos Raonic 182.9
14. Gustavo Kuerten 181
15. Michael Chang 181
16. Jim Courier 177
17. Lleyton Hewitt 160
18. Patrick Rafter 159
19. Yevgeny Kafelnikov 145.3
20. Sergi Bruguera 142.4

Nadal has finally surpassed Djokovic in average points, and holds a very slim margin. It's amazing how close these two players are after such long and different careers. Nadal is certainly the best player in Masters Series history as of right now, but that could change even before the end of the 2019 season.

Most Points Earned at One Tournament:
1. Rafael Nadal 12,590 (Monte Carlo)
2. Rafael Nadal 10,750 (Rome)
3. Roger Federer 8780 (Indian Wells)
4. Rafael Nadal 8565 (Monte Carlo)
5. Andre Agassi 8220 (Miami)
6. Roger Federer 8100 (Cincinnati)
7. Novak Djokovic 7900 (Rome)
8. Novak Djokovic 6830 (Miami)
9. Novak Djokovic 6745 (Indian Wells)
10. Roger Federer 6355 (Miami)

There is one more way of looking at the numbers presented in this form. The first two categories dealt with totals and averages. Averages are good for looking at how good a player is in the tournaments that they played. Total is good for looking at the longevity of that success in tournaments.

This final list looks at a combination of the two. It takes the total amount of points won and subtracted from that is the number of Masters Series tournaments played multiplied by 171, which was the average amount of points won per tournament of the players that were researched. That means that an average score on this list would be zero for the 46 players that were researched.

Career Points Earned Adjusted
1. Rafael Nadal 35,114
2. Novak Djokovic 33,584
3. Roger Federer 29,571
4. Andre Agassi 11,842
5. Andy Murray 11,643
6. Pete Sampras 10,227
7. Stefan Edberg 4829
8. Boris Becker 3950
9. Thomas Muster 3747
10. Andy Roddick 3101
11. Marcelo Rios 1623
12. Kei Nishikori 1397
13. Michael Chang 870
14. Gustavo Kuerten 693
15. Milos Raonic 581

Race To 311 Weeks

Roger Federer has been the No. 1 singles player in the ATP for a record 310 weeks in his career, setting that record by winning Wimbledon in 2012. In the seven years since then, that record has gone unchallenged. However, Novak Djokovic is currently getting himself in position to challenge Federer's record.

Djokovic has now been the No. 1 player in the world for 261 weeks, which is the fifth most in tennis history. He is now just 50 weeks away from breaking Federer's record, meaning he needs to stay No. 1 in the world until July 6, 2020. That is also the date of Manic Monday for the 134th edition of Wimbledon. Therefore, if Djokovic stays ranked No. 1 in the world from now until the start of the next Wimbledon, he will break Federer's record.

Every year, the ATP tracks the Race to London rankings to measure only the ranking points that will count toward qualification for the year-end finals. However, Djokovic is racing toward a different tournament in London, so below is the total number of ranking points accumulated by each player toward being the No. 1 player in the world on July 6, 2020.

Race To Wimbledon Rankings (As of Sept. 6, 2019)
1. Daniil Medvedev - 3190
2. Novak Djokovic - 2540
3. Rafael Nadal - 2260
4. Roger Federer - 1650
5. David Goffin - 1150
6. Roberto Bautista Agut - 1135
7. Matteo Berrettini - 910
8. Diego Schwartzman - 835
9. Andrey Rublev - 770
9. Grigor Dimitrov - 770
11. Gael Monfils - 740
12. Nikoloz Basilashvili - 735
13. Nick Kyrgios - 680
14. Guido Pella - 595
15. Alex De Minaur - 575
16. Alexander Zverev - 560
16. Richard Gasquet - 560
18. Dominic Theim - 540
19. Albert Ramos Vinolas - 539
20. Benoit Paire - 520
20. John Isner - 520
22. Karen Khachanov - 515
23. Stan Wawrinka - 495
24. Hubert Hurkacz - 470
24. Kei Nishikori - 470
26. Sam Querrey - 435
27. Pablo Carreno Busta - 427
28. Fabio Fognini - 415
28. Marin Cilic - 415
30. Taylor Fritz - 375
31. Dusan Lajovic - 370
32. Pablo Andujar - 335
33. Joao Sousa - 335
34. Dominik Koepfer - 325
34. Tennys Sandgren - 325
34. Lucas Pouille - 325
37. Yoshihito Nishioka - 321
38. Juan Ignacio Londero - 315
38. Jan-Lennard Struff - 315
38. Miomir Kecmanovic - 315
41. Ugo Humbert - 300
42. Daniel Evans - 295
43. Denis Shapovalov - 280
43. Steve Johnson - 280
45. Milos Raonic - 270
45. Alexander Bublik - 270
45. Nicolas Jarry - 270
48. Yuichi Sugita - 266

Being No. 1 at Wimbledon next year only matters if Djokovic remains No. 1 up until then. Rafael Nadal has the best chance to surpass Djokovic before Wimbledon next year and his best chance to do so could be at the Australian Open. Since the Austalian Open, Djokovic has earned 5,175 points, while Nadal has earned 6,745 points. That means that Nadal's best chance to catch Djokovic will be between Paris-Bercy and the Australian Open.