Tuesday, June 3, 2014

Wimbledon World No. 1 Scenarios

Tennis's top ranking is at stake this week at Roland Garros, where Novak Djokovic and Rafael Nadal are battling for the title of world No. 1. However, the second slam of the year will hardly settle who is No. 1 for even the next month. Nadal is scheduled to play in Halle, while Djokovic is not expected to play any ATP event between the two majors. How well each player plays in Paris has implications on their ability to hold onto the top ranking through Wimbledon. Here is a look at what each player has to do to be the world No. 1 on July 6, 2014.

If Djokovic beats Nadal at the Roland Garros final...
Djokovic would become the world No. 1 and hold a 240-point lead over Nadal going into the grass season when the points they are defending at Wimbledon are taken away. That means Nadal would have to do 240 points better than Djokovic on grass.
-If Djokovic wins Wimbledon, he will remain world No. 1.
-If Djokovic loses in the Wimbledon final, Nadal would have to win Wimbledon to return to world No. 1.
-If Djokovic loses in the Wimbledon semifinals, Nadal would have to reach the Wimbledon final or reach the Wimbledon semifinals and win Halle to return to world No. 1.
-If Djokovic loses in the Wimbledon quarterfinals,  Nadal would have to earn 120 points combined from Wimbledon and Halle.
-If Djokovic does not reach the quarterfinals, Nadal will return to world No. 1.

If Nadal defeats Djokovic in the Roland Garros final...
Nadal would remain the world No. 1  and would hold a 1360-point lead over Djokovic going into the grass season when the points they are defending at Wimbledon are taken away. That means Djokovic would have have to do 1360 points better than Nadal on grass.
-If Nadal reaches the Wimbledon semifinals, he will remain world No. 1.
-If Nadal loses before the Wimbledon semifinals, Djokovic would have to win Wimbledon to become No. 1.


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