Wednesday, December 30, 2015

2016 Year-end Ranking Predictions

The tennis season is less than a week away from starting. That means it is time for me to make my predictions on what the year-end top 100 will be for the upcoming season. These are the most difficult predictions to make, because predicting the rankings 52 weeks in advance means I have nothing to base these predictions on other than my own expectations for 2016.

This is my fifth year making these predictions, and it seems to get harder every year, particularly because of the parity in tennis over the last year or two with teenagers breaking through and the Big Four's stranglehold on the tour slipping.

These are how my predictions did in the previous four years.
2012
Mean difference between predicted and actual ranking: 31.10
Perfect Predictions: 6
2013
Mean difference between predicted and actual ranking31.56
Perfect Predictions: 3
2014
Mean difference between predicted and actual ranking: 31.49
Perfect Predictions: 1
2015
Mean difference between predicted and actual ranking: 25.76
Perfect Predictions: 2

And these are my predictions for the year-end top 100 of 2016
12/29/2015
Rank Name 28-Dec
1 Novak Djokovic 1
2 Andy Murray 2
3 Rafael Nadal 5
4 Kei Nishikori 8
5 Stan Wawrinka 4
6 Tomas Berdych 6
7 Roger Federer 3
8 Milos Raonic 14
9 Marin Cilic 13
10 Bernard Tomic 18
11 Jo-Wilfried Tsonga 10
12 Grigor Dimitrov 28
13 Dominic Thiem 20
14 Kevin Anderson 12
15 John Isner 11
16 David Goffin 16
17 David Ferrer 7
18 Jack Sock 26
19 Gael Monfils 24
20 Gilles Simon 15
21 Steve Johnson 32
22 Richard Gasquet 9
23 Nick Kyrgios 30
24 Benoit Paire 19
25 Viktor Troicki 22
26 Jeremy Chardy 31
27 Alexandr Dolgopolov 36
28 Jiri Vesely 41
29 Roberto Bautista Agut 25
30 Aljaz Bedene 45
31 Borna Coric 44
32 Martin Klizan 43
33 Joao Sousa 33
34 Fabio Fognini 21
35 Vasek Pospisil 39
36 Leonardo Mayer 35
37 Thomaz Bellucci 37
38 Pablo Cuevas 40
39 Adrian Mannarino 47
40 Jerzy Janowicz 57
41 Hyeon Chung 51
42 Donald Young 48
43 Federico Delbonis 52
44 Feliciano Lopez 17
45 Sam Querrey 59
46 Pablo Carreno Busta 67
47 Denis Kudla 69
48 Ivo Karlovic 23
49 Guillermo Garcia-Lopez 27
50 Alexander Zverev 83
51 Andreas Seppi 29
52 Lucas Pouille 78
53 Philipp Kohlschreiber 34
54 Ernests Gulbis 81
55 Nicolas Almagro 73
56 Thanasi Kokkinakis 80
57 Sam Groth 60
58 Denis Istomin 61
59 Fernando Verdasco 49
60 Gilles Muller 38
61 Mikhail Kukushkin 65
62 Juan Monaco 53
63 Yuki Bhambri 93
64 Diego Schwartzman 88
65 Jared Donaldson 134
66 Yoshihito Nishioka 117
67 Dusan Lajovic 76
68 Ricardas Berankis 85
69 Elias Ymer 136
70 Inigo Cervantes 72
71 Albert Ramos 54
72 Santiago Giraldo 70
73 Damir Dzumhur 82
74 Kyle Edmund 102
75 Robin Haase 66
76 Andrey Kuznetsov 79
77 Andreas Haider-Mauerer 63
78 Pablo Andujar 64
79 Filip Krajinovic 101
80 Marcos Baghdatis 46
81 Teymuraz Gabashvili 50
82 Lukas Rosol 55
83 Simone Bolelli 58
84 Kimmer Coppejans 130
85 Ryan Harrison 112
86 Tommy Robredo 42
87 Taro Daniel 96
88 Marco Cecchinato 90
89 Austin Krajicek 104
90 Illya Marchenko 94
91 Bjorn Fratangelo 128
92 Andrey Rublev 185
93 Matthew Ebden 105
94 Jan-Lennard Struff 107
95 Lukas Lacko 110
96 Evgeny Donskoy 91
97 Taylor Fritz 174
98 James Duckworth 120
99 Nikoloz Basilashvili 113
100 Laslo Djere 186

1 comment:

  1. Tennis live stream online

    watch tennis online Live

    tennis Online Live

    tennis online Stream live

    Live Tennis stream

    Over 2700 Live ATP & WTA Matches A Year, Now In HD Get Full Access On Your Computer, Mobile Devices Laptop Mac Ios Linux Or More Digital Devices

    ReplyDelete