2016 Year-end Ranking Predictions

The tennis season is less than a week away from starting. That means it is time for me to make my predictions on what the year-end top 100 will be for the upcoming season. These are the most difficult predictions to make, because predicting the rankings 52 weeks in advance means I have nothing to base these predictions on other than my own expectations for 2016.

This is my fifth year making these predictions, and it seems to get harder every year, particularly because of the parity in tennis over the last year or two with teenagers breaking through and the Big Four's stranglehold on the tour slipping.

These are how my predictions did in the previous four years.
2012
Mean difference between predicted and actual ranking: 31.10
Perfect Predictions: 6
2013
Mean difference between predicted and actual ranking: 31.56
Perfect Predictions: 3
2014
Mean difference between predicted and actual ranking: 31.49
Perfect Predictions: 1
2015
Mean difference between predicted and actual ranking: 25.76
Perfect Predictions: 2

And these are my predictions for the year-end top 100 of 2016

12/29/2015
Rank	Name	28-Dec
1	Novak Djokovic	1
2	Andy Murray	2
3	Rafael Nadal	5
4	Kei Nishikori	8
5	Stan Wawrinka	4
6	Tomas Berdych	6
7	Roger Federer	3
8	Milos Raonic	14
9	Marin Cilic	13
10	Bernard Tomic	18
11	Jo-Wilfried Tsonga	10
12	Grigor Dimitrov	28
13	Dominic Thiem	20
14	Kevin Anderson	12
15	John Isner	11
16	David Goffin	16
17	David Ferrer	7
18	Jack Sock	26
19	Gael Monfils	24
20	Gilles Simon	15
21	Steve Johnson	32
22	Richard Gasquet	9
23	Nick Kyrgios	30
24	Benoit Paire	19
25	Viktor Troicki	22
26	Jeremy Chardy	31
27	Alexandr Dolgopolov	36
28	Jiri Vesely	41
29	Roberto Bautista Agut	25
30	Aljaz Bedene	45
31	Borna Coric	44
32	Martin Klizan	43
33	Joao Sousa	33
34	Fabio Fognini	21
35	Vasek Pospisil	39
36	Leonardo Mayer	35
37	Thomaz Bellucci	37
38	Pablo Cuevas	40
39	Adrian Mannarino	47
40	Jerzy Janowicz	57
41	Hyeon Chung	51
42	Donald Young	48
43	Federico Delbonis	52
44	Feliciano Lopez	17
45	Sam Querrey	59
46	Pablo Carreno Busta	67
47	Denis Kudla	69
48	Ivo Karlovic	23
49	Guillermo Garcia-Lopez	27
50	Alexander Zverev	83
51	Andreas Seppi	29
52	Lucas Pouille	78
53	Philipp Kohlschreiber	34
54	Ernests Gulbis	81
55	Nicolas Almagro	73
56	Thanasi Kokkinakis	80
57	Sam Groth	60
58	Denis Istomin	61
59	Fernando Verdasco	49
60	Gilles Muller	38
61	Mikhail Kukushkin	65
62	Juan Monaco	53
63	Yuki Bhambri	93
64	Diego Schwartzman	88
65	Jared Donaldson	134
66	Yoshihito Nishioka	117
67	Dusan Lajovic	76
68	Ricardas Berankis	85
69	Elias Ymer	136
70	Inigo Cervantes	72
71	Albert Ramos	54
72	Santiago Giraldo	70
73	Damir Dzumhur	82
74	Kyle Edmund	102
75	Robin Haase	66
76	Andrey Kuznetsov	79
77	Andreas Haider-Mauerer	63
78	Pablo Andujar	64
79	Filip Krajinovic	101
80	Marcos Baghdatis	46
81	Teymuraz Gabashvili	50
82	Lukas Rosol	55
83	Simone Bolelli	58
84	Kimmer Coppejans	130
85	Ryan Harrison	112
86	Tommy Robredo	42
87	Taro Daniel	96
88	Marco Cecchinato	90
89	Austin Krajicek	104
90	Illya Marchenko	94
91	Bjorn Fratangelo	128
92	Andrey Rublev	185
93	Matthew Ebden	105
94	Jan-Lennard Struff	107
95	Lukas Lacko	110
96	Evgeny Donskoy	91
97	Taylor Fritz	174
98	James Duckworth	120
99	Nikoloz Basilashvili	113
100	Laslo Djere	186