Thursday, December 19, 2013

2014 Year-end Rankings Predictions

For the past few years, I have spent the tennis off-season predicting what will happen in the upcoming season. Since the start of the 2012 season, what I have done is predicted what the rankings will be of the top 100 at the end of the season. On my first try, I correctly predicted the 2012 year-end ranking of six players. However, I was wrong by 31.1 spots on average for each player. In predicting the year-end ranking for 2013, I had three perfect picks and missed by 31.56 spots on average. I just finished my predictions for the 2014 year-end rankings. However I will be updating them to try to improve them up until the first match of the season in Brisbane. Let me know what you think of my predictions. Which names did I leave off the list? Who did I predict to do to well? Who am I underestimating? I want to hear your thoughts.
Nadal and Djokovic have both finished in the top two for two of the past
three years, and 2014 shouldn't be any different.

Rank Name                             Current Ranking
1 Novak Djokovic 2
2 Rafael Nadal 1
3 Andy Murray 4
4 Juan Martin del Potro 5
5 Roger Federer 6
6 Tomas Berdych 7
7 David Ferrer 3
8 Jo-Wilfried Tsonga 10
9 Stanislas Wawrinka 8
10 Milos Raonic 11
11 Richard Gasquet 9
12 Nicolas Almagro 13
13 Jerzy Janowicz 21
14 Marin Cilic 37
15 Grigor Dimitrov 23
16 John Isner 14
17 Kei Nishikori 17
18 Fabio Fognini 16
19 Kevin Anderson 20
20 Ernests Gulbis 24
21 Gilles Simon 19
22 Benoit Paire 26
23 Sam Querrey 46
24 Gael Monfils 31
25 Denis Istomin 45
26 Bernard Tomic 51
27 Tommy Haas 12
28 Jeremy Chardy 34
29 Mikhail Youzhny 15
30 Philipp Kohlschreiber 22
31 Daniel Brands 54
32 Janko Tipsarevic 36
33 Fernando Verdasco 30
34 Vasek Pospisil 32
35 Alexandr Dolgopolov 57
36 Marinko Matosevic 61
37 Frederico Delbonis 55
38 Santiago Giraldo 69
39 Tommy Robredo 18
40 Andreas Seppi 25
41 Dmitry Tursunov 29
42 Jurgen Melzer 27
43 Ivan Dodig 33
44 Marcel Granollers 38
45 Feliciano Lopez 28
46 Juan Monaco 42
47 Robin Haase 43
48 Joao Sousa 49
49 Roberto Bautsita Agut 58
50 Julien Benneteau 35
51 Jarkko Nieminen 39
52 Lukas Rosol 47
53 Ryan Harrison 100
54 Edouard Roger-Vasselin 52
55 Pablo Carreno Busta 64
56 Matthew Ebden 68
57 Lukas Lacko 81
58 Jiri Vesely 85
59 Jack Sock 102
60 Somdev Devvarman 90
61 Marcos Baghdatis 87
62 Bradley Klahn 97
63 Martin Klizan 108
64 Albert Ramos 83
65 Igor Sijsling 70
66 Leonardo Mayer 94
67 Thomaz Bellucci 125
68 Florian Mayer 40
69 Donald Young 96
70 Julian Reister 86
71 Pablo Andujar 48
72 Ricardas Berankis 131
73 Guillermo Garcia-Lopez 62
74 Yen-Hsun Lu 65
75 David Goffin 110
76 Mikhail Kukushkin 67
77 Grega Zemlja 121
78 Carlos Berlocq 41
79 Tobias Kamke 74
80 Adrian Mannarino 59
81 Michal Przysiezny 66
82 Denis Kudla 114
83 Dusan Lajovic 116
84 Aljaz Bedene 95
85 Tim Smyczek 89
86 Teymuraz Gabashvili 76
87 Steve Johnson 156
88 Daniel Gimeno-Traver 77
89 Nick Kyrgios 182
90 Andrey Golubev 82
91 Rhyne Williams 130
92 Alex Bogomolov Jr. 88
93 Guido Pella 118
94 Alejando Falla 99
95 Sergiy Stakhovsky 98
96 Horacio Zeballos 56
97 Alejando Gonzalez 91
98 Dominic Thiem 139
99 Viktor Troicki 75
100 Guillaume Rufin 137
 

Notable missing players: Lleyton Hewitt, Radek Stepanek, Nicolas Mahut, Nikolay Davydenko, Albert Montanes, Filippo Volandri, Ivo Karlovic, Benjamin Becker, Victor Hanescu, Lukasz Kubot, Kenny De Schepper, Michael Russell, Go Soeda, Dustin Brown

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