In 2013, I got 47 of my predictions correct, in 2014, 48 of them came true, and last season, I got 63 predictions correct. I tried to maintain the same degree of difficulty in my predictions for 2016, but measuring that degree of difficulty is hard to do unless other experts make the exact same kind of predictions. That was the reasoning behind doing an expert panel that filled out a questionnaire, and even among the experts, there was quite a bit of disagreement.
So in an attempt to maintain that same degree of boldness, here are my 100 predictions for the 2016 tennis season.
A South American will win a title in February |
Anderson never return to the top 10 |
Anderson will hit less than 1000 aces |
At least 10 Americans will finish in the top 100 |
At least four Americans will be ranked higher than the top German |
At least four Americans will reach a final |
At least four Serbs will finish in the top 100 |
At least seven Frenchmen will finish in the top 50 |
At least three college graduates will finish in the top 25 |
At most 12 Spaniards will finish in the top 100 |
At most one teenager will finish in the top 50 |
Bautista Agut will win more return points than Federer |
Berdych will stay in the top 10 all year |
Bhambri will win a grand slam match |
Chung will reach the semifinal of a tour-level tournament |
Cilic will return to the top 10 at some point in 2016 |
Coppejans will win a tour-level match |
Coric will reach the final of a tour-level tournament |
Djokovic will be No. 1 all year |
Djokovic will beat Murray at the Australian Open |
Djokovic will beat Murray at Wimbledon |
Djokovic will beat Nadal at Roland Garros |
Djokovic will defeat Federer in the gold medal match |
Djokovic will win titles on every surface |
Durasovic will reach the main draw of the Challenger Tour event |
Federer will drop out of the top 5 |
Federer will hit at least 400 aces |
Federer will not win a title on clay |
Federer will win a medal in Rio |
Federer will win no more than one elite event |
Ferrer will drop out of the top 10 |
Five Australians will combine for at least 5000 ranking points |
Fognini will hold serve less than 500 times |
France will win the Davis Cup |
Fratangelo will win a tour-level match |
Garcia-Lopez will have a losing record in finals |
Gasquet will drop out of the top 10 before the US Open |
Goffin will beat a player in the top 10 |
Goffin will reach his first career grand slam quarterfinal |
Groth will win a Masters main draw match |
Isner will be the top ranked American all year |
Isner will lead the tour in aces |
Isner will return to the top 10 at some point in 2016 |
Isner will win less than 20 Masters matches |
Janowicz will finish in the top 50 |
Johnson will be seeded at every grand slam |
Johnson will win a tour-level title |
Khachanov will reach a grand slam main draw |
Kokkinakis will not win a title |
Kyrgios will not reach the quarterfinals of a grand slam |
Miedler will win a Challenger Tour match |
Murray will be No. 2 for the entire year |
Murray will beat Nishikori at the US Open |
Murray will earn at least 10,000 ranking points |
Murray will hold serve more times than Wawrinka |
Murray will not win multiple slams |
Murray will win a medal in Rio |
Murray will win a title on every surface |
Nadal will be the only lefty in the year-end top 25 |
Nadal will break serve at least 300 times |
Nadal will finish ahead of Federer in the rankings |
Nadal will go undefeated against Fognini all year |
Nadal will have a winning record against the top 10 |
Nadal will hold more times than Federer |
Nadal will not lose to Brown all year |
Nadal will reach the quarterfinals of at least three majors |
Nadal will win a title in Spain |
Nadal will win multiple five-set matches |
Nadal will win multiple titles on clay |
Nishioka will reach a Masters main draw |
No left-hander will be in the top 5 for aces |
No Spaniard will finish in the top 100 for the first time in his career |
Nobody born in the 1990s will reach a grand slam final |
Nobody will reach their first grand slam final |
Nobody will reach their first grand slam semifinal |
Nobody will win their first grand slam title |
Nobody younger than Djokovic will be ranked higher than him |
Nobody younger than Nishikori will be ranked higher than him |
Nobody younger than Raonic will be ranked higher than him |
Nobody younger than Tomic will be ranked higher than him |
North Americans will combine for at least 15,000 ranking points |
Pavlasek will play reach a tour-level main draw |
Ram will win a match on grass |
Raonic will finish the year in the top 10 |
Rublev will win a Challenger Tour title |
Sock will reach the top 20 |
Thiem will win 1000 points on return |
Tomic will hit more aces than Federer |
Tomic will reach the top 10 for the first time |
Troicki will drop out of the top 25 after the Australian Open |
Tsonga will hit 100 aces on clay |
Tsonga will win multiple titles |
Vesely will reach the second week of a grand slam |
Wawrinka will have a losing record against the top 10 |
Wawrinka will leave the top 5 after Roland Garros |
Wawrinka will lose a match to someone outside the top 100 |
Wawrinka will not reach a slam final |
Wawrinka will win multiple five-set matches |
Wawrinka will win multiple titles |
Zverev will finish the year as the No. 1 German |
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